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Final Regulatory Assessment and Final Regulatory Flexibility Analysis Final Rule - Nondiscrimination on the Basis of Disability by Public Accommodations - Movie Theaters; Movie Captioning and Audio Description

3.2. Baselines

In the Final RA, the baseline is defined as the current number of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning and audio description.  As explained in Section 2.1.3, any auditoriums that are already equipped to provide closed movie captioning and audio description prior to the rulemaking are not included in the cost estimation.

Until recently, few movie theaters actually provided auxiliary aids and services for movie patrons who are deaf or hard of hearing, or blind or have low vision, despite the increasing availability of movies produced with captions and audio description.  The Department recognizes that this has started to change.  The industry as a whole is seeing an increasing number of movie theaters with auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning and audio description.

However, there is uncertainty regarding the precise number of auditoriums equipped to provide these services. Because this estimate has a significant impact on the cost estimation of the final rule, the Final RA estimates costs against three different baselines.  A Medium Accessibility baseline is used in the primary analysis, and Low Accessibility and High Accessibility baselines are used in sensitivity analyses.  The three baselines are derived from the 2015 Accessibility Survey conducted by NATO.18 

Section 3.2.1 provides an overview and presents the results of the 2015 NATO Accessibility Survey.  Section 3.2.2 explains that the results of the survey are not definitive and demonstrates the need for analyzing multiple baselines.  This section also provides an overview of how the Low Accessibility, Medium Accessibility, and High Accessibility baselines are calculated.  Section 3.2.3 shows how the number of auditoriums already equipped to provide closed movie captioning and audio description is distributed across the venue types in the primary analysis.

18  NATO, 2015 Accessibility Survey on RIN 1190-AA63, CRT Docket No. 126, Nondiscrimination on the Basis of Disability by Public Accommodations—Movie Theaters; Movie Captioning and Audio Description, available at http://www.regulations.gov/contentStreamer?documentId=DOJ-CRT-2014-0004-0426&attachmentNumber=2&disposition=attachment&contentType=pdf (last visited Sept. 12, 2016).

3.2.1. Overview of NATO’s 2015 Accessibility Survey

NATO is a trade association representing firms in the movie exhibition industry.  In 2015, NATO members in the United States operated approximately 32,499 of the 39,338 indoor movie auditoriums nationwide (82.6 percent).  In response to the 2014 NPRM, NATO conducted a survey (2015 survey) of its member companies regarding the number of auditoriums already equipped to provide closed movie captioning and audio description.19  NATO members responded via email during the spring and summer of 2015, providing information on the total number of auditoriums they operated and the proportion of those auditoriums that were equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description.

NATO received survey responses from 116 companies operating 24,739 auditoriums in the United States.  A quick overview of the 2015 survey results is provided in Table 3-7 below.  According to the 2015 survey, 22,836 auditoriums are equipped to provide closed movie captioning and 22,673 auditoriums are equipped to provide audio description.

Table 3-7 : 2015 NATO Accessibility Survey Overview

Auditoriums

Number of Auditoriums

Operated by 2015 NATO Survey Respondents

24,739

Equipped to Provide Closed Movie Captioning

22,836

Equipped to Provide Audio Description

22,673

Source: NATO, 2015 Accessibility Survey on RIN 1190-AA63, CRT Docket No. 126, Nondiscrimination on the Basis of Disability by Public Accommodations—Movie Theaters; Movie Captioning and Audio Description, available at http://www.regulations.gov/contentStreamer?documentId=DOJ-CRT-2014-0004-0426&attachmentNumber=2&disposition=attachment&contentType=pdf (last visited Sept. 12, 2016).

The member movie theaters responding to NATO’s 2015 survey represent 63 percent of all indoor auditoriums currently operating.  The next section explains the need for multiple baselines due to the uncertainty that exists in the number of auditoriums already equipped to provide closed movie captioning and audio description and operated by movie theaters that were not surveyed or that failed to respond to the 2015 survey.

19  Id.

3.2.2. Captioning and Audio Description Baselines

The 2015 survey is representative of a portion of the total number of auditoriums operating in the United States.  The Final RA uses three possible baselines (Low Accessibility, Medium Accessibility, and High Accessibility) that differ depending on the assumptions concerning the prevalence of auditoriums already equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description amongst movie theaters that were not surveyed or that failed to respond to the 2015 survey.  The primary analysis uses the Medium Accessibility baseline while the Low Accessibility and High Accessibility baselines are estimated separately as sensitivity analyses in Sections 4.2.1 and 4.2.2.  The assumptions used to calculate the baselines are outlined in the sections below.

3.2.2.1. Low Accessibility Baseline

The Low Accessibility baseline is the most conservative of the three baselines developed for the cost estimation.  The Low Accessibility baseline assumes that:

  • The auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description as reported in the 2015 survey are the only indoor auditoriums exhibiting digital movies in the United States that are equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description.

The calculation for the Low Accessibility baseline is presented in Table 3-8.  The Low Accessibility baseline is calculated by dividing the number of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description, as reported in the 2015 survey (Table 3-7), by the total number of indoor auditoriums operating in the United States (Table 3-1 in Section 3.1.1).

Table 3-8 : Low Accessibility Baseline for Captioning and Audio Description

Technology

Audito-riums Equipped to Provide Captioning/ Audio Description*

÷

Total Number of Indoor Audito-riums in 2015**

=

Low Access-ibility Baseline

Number of Audito-riums Exhibiting Digital Movies Equipped to Provide Captioning/ Audio Description in Compliance Year
(2017)***

Closed Movie Captioning

22,836

÷

39,338

=

58.1%

22,836

Audio Description

22,673

÷

39,338

=

57.6%

22,673

*Source: NATO, 2015 Accessibility Survey (2015) on RIN 1190-AA63, CRT Docket No. 126, Nondiscrimination on the Basis of Disability by Public Accommodations—Movie Theaters; Movie Captioning and Audio Description, available at
 http://www.regulations.gov/contentStreamer?documentId=DOJ-CRT-2014-0004-0426&attachmentNumber=2&disposition=attachment&contentType=pdf (last visited Sept. 12, 2016).

**Source: NATO estimate from Deluxe Technicolor (Table 3-1)

***Based on estimated total number of indoor digital auditoriums (39,338) in compliance year (2017)

The Low Accessibility baseline assumes that approximately 58 percent of all indoor auditoriums are equipped to provide closed movie captioning and 58 percent are equipped to provide audio description.  However, it is likely that the actual number of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description is higher than the figure calculated in the Low Accessibility baseline.  This is because the Low Accessibility baseline does not include any auditoriums operated by NATO members who did not respond to the survey or any auditoriums operated by firms who are not NATO members.  The estimated costs of the final rule under the Low Accessibility baseline are estimated as a sensitivity analysis in Section 4.2.1.

3.2.2.2. Medium Accessibility Baseline

The Medium Accessibility baseline is used in the cost estimation for the primary analysis presented in Section 4.1.  The Medium Accessibility baseline assumes that:

  • The percentage of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description amongst auditoriums operated by all NATO members is true for all indoor auditoriums exhibiting digital movies in the United States.

As previously discussed in Section 3.2.1, NATO member companies operate approximately 32,499 auditoriums.  The Medium Accessibility baseline assumes that the percentage of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description amongst auditoriums operated by NATO members is true for the entire industry.  This differs from the Low Accessibility baseline, which assumes that no auditoriums outside of those included in the 2015 survey are equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description.  The Medium Accessibility baseline is calculated by dividing the number of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description, as reported in the 2015 survey, by the total number of auditoriums operated by NATO members, as shown in Table 3-9.

Table 3-9 : Medium Accessibility Baseline for Captioning and Audio Description

Technology

Auditoriums Equipped to Provide Captioning/ Audio Description*

÷

Total
Number of Auditoriums  Operated by NATO Members*

=

Medium Accessibility Baseline

Number of Auditoriums Exhibiting Digital Movies Equipped to Provide Captioning/ Audio Description in Compliance Year
(2017)**

Closed Movie Captioning

22,836

÷

32,499

=

70.3%

27,641

Audio Description

22,673

÷

32,499

=

69.8%

27,444

*Source: NATO, 2015 Accessibility Survey (2015) on RIN 1190-AA63, CRT Docket No. 126, Nondiscrimination on the Basis of Disability by Public Accommodations—Movie Theaters; Movie Captioning and Audio Description, available at
 http://www.regulations.gov/contentStreamer?documentId=DOJ-CRT-2014-0004-0426&attachmentNumber=2&disposition=attachment&contentType=pdf (last visited Sept. 12, 2016).

**Based on estimated total number of indoor digital auditoriums (39,338) in compliance year (2017)

The Medium Accessibility baseline assumes that 70 percent of auditoriums are equipped to provide closed movie captioning and 70 percent are equipped to provide audio description.

3.2.2.3. High Accessibility Baseline

The High Accessibility baseline is the least conservative of the three baselines.  The High Accessibility baseline assumes that:

  • The percentage of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description amongst auditoriums operated by surveyed NATO members is true for all indoor auditoriums exhibiting digital movies in the United States.

As shown in Table 3-7, the NATO members responding to the survey operated 24,739 auditoriums.  The High Accessibility baseline assumes that the percentage of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description amongst the total number of auditoriums operated by firms responding to the 2015 survey is true for the entire industry.  The High Accessibility baseline is calculated by dividing the total number of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description, as reported in the 2015 survey, by the total number of auditoriums operated by the 2015 survey respondents, as shown in Table 3-10.

Table 3-10 : High Accessibility Baseline for Captioning and Audio Description

Technology

Audito-riums Equipped to Provide Captioning/ Audio Description*

÷

Total
Number of Audito-riums  Operated by 2015 Survey Respond-ents*

=

High Access-ibility Baseline

Number of Audito-riums Exhibiting Digital Movies Equipped to Provide Captioning/ Audio Description in Compliance Year
(2017)**

Closed Movie Captioning

22,836

÷

24,739

=

92.3%

36,312

Audio Description

22,673

÷

24,739

=

91.6%

36,053

* NATO, 2015 Accessibility Survey (2015) on RIN 1190-AA63, CRT Docket No. 126, Nondiscrimination on the Basis of Disability by Public Accommodations—Movie Theaters; Movie Captioning and Audio Description, available at
 http://www.regulations.gov/contentStreamer?documentId=DOJ-CRT-2014-0004-0426&attachmentNumber=2&disposition=attachment&contentType=pdf (last visited Sept. 12, 2016).

**Based on estimated total number of indoor digital auditoriums (39,338) in compliance year (2017)

The High Accessibility baseline assumes that 92 percent of auditoriums are equipped to provide closed movie captioning and 92 percent are equipped to provide audio description.  However, it is possible that the High Accessibility baseline overestimates the current percentage of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description.  NATO members operating auditoriums that are not equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description may have been less likely to respond to the survey.  Additionally, firms that are not NATO members may not have the same percentage of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description as do NATO members.  The estimated costs of the final rule under the High Accessibility baseline are estimated as a sensitivity analysis presented in Section 4.2.2.

3.2.2.4. Summary of Baselines

The Low Accessibility, Medium Accessibility, and High Accessibility baselines are summarized in Table 3-11.  The primary analysis uses the Medium Accessibility baseline in the calculation of the estimated costs.  In the Medium Accessibility baseline, approximately 70 percent of auditoriums are equipped to provide closed movie captioning and approximately 70 percent are equipped to provide audio description.  The costs of the final rule using the Low Accessibility and High Accessibility baselines are estimated as sensitivity analyses in Sections 4.2.1 and 4.2.2, respectively.

Table 3-11 : Summary of Potential Captioning and Audio Description Baselines (2015)

Technology

Low Accessibility

Medium Accessibility

High Accessibility

Closed Movie Captioning

58.1%

70.3%

92.3%

Audio Description

57.6%

69.8%

91.6%

3.2.3. Baseline by Venue Type

Lastly, the baseline is applied to the projected number of auditoriums by venue type in the compliance year. This section explains how the auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description are distributed by venue type (Section 2.1.4).

Industry research suggests that Single-Auditorium movie theaters are less likely to have auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning and audio description because they are typically operated by firms with lower average revenues.  Therefore, the Final RA assumes that all auditoriums operated by Single-Auditorium movie theaters currently lack the necessary equipment to provide closed movie captioning and audio description.  Auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning and audio description are assumed to be distributed proportionally among Megaplex, Multiplex, and Miniplex movie theaters.  Table 3-12 below shows the distribution of auditoriums across each venue type under the Medium Accessibility baseline, adjusted to reflect this assumption.  The percentage of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description for each venue type is adjusted so that the total number of auditoriums equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description in the analysis matches the estimated total number of auditoriums equipped to provide such features in the Medium Accessibility baseline shown in Table 3-9.  As shown in Table 3-12, around 72 percent of auditoriums operated in Megaplex, Multiplex and Miniplex theaters are assumed to be equipped to provide closed movie captioning.  Similarly, approximately 71 percent of auditoriums in these movie theaters are assumed to be equipped to provide audio description.

Table 3-12 : Medium Accessibility Baseline by Venue Type–Captioning and Audio Description

Venue Type

Captioning Medium Accessibility Baseline

Audio Description Medium Accessibility Baseline

Megaplex

72%

71%

Multiplex

72%

71%

Miniplex

72%

71%

Single-Auditorium

0%

0%

The Medium Accessibility baseline percentage by venue type above is then applied to the number of indoor auditoriums exhibiting digital movies in the compliance year, presented in Table 3-9.  Table 3-13 below shows the calculation used to determine the Department’s assumption regarding the number of auditoriums subject to the rulemaking that are and are not equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description.  As the table shows, the Department assumes that 9,561 of the auditoriums at Megaplex movie theaters are equipped to provide closed movie captioning, while 3,778 are assumed to not be equipped to provide closed movie captioning.

Table 3-13 : Calculation of Auditoriums That Are Equipped to Provide Captioning by Venue Type

Venue Type

Number of Auditoriums (2017)

×

Captioning Medium Accessibility Baseline

=

Auditoriums Equipped to Provide Captioning

Auditoriums That Are Not Equipped to Provide Captioning

Megaplex
(16+ auditoriums)

13,339

×

72%

=

9,561

3,778

Multiplex
(8–15 auditoriums)

21,159

×

72%

=

15,166

5,993

Miniplex
(2–7 auditoriums)

4,065

×

72%

=

2,914

1,151

Single-Auditorium

774

×

0%

=

0

774

Total

39,338

×

70%*

=

27,641

11,697

*Percentage of all auditoriums equipped to provide captioning

The same methodology is used to calculate the number of auditoriums subject to the rulemaking that are and are not equipped to provide audio description.

Table 3-14: Calculation of Auditoriums That Are Equipped to Provide Audio Description by Venue Type


Venue Type

Number of Auditoriums (2017)

×

Audio Description Medium Accessibility Baseline

=

Auditoriums That Are Equipped to Provide Audio Description

Auditoriums That Are Not Equipped to Provide Audio Description

Megaplex
(16+ auditoriums)

13,339

×

71%

=

9,493

3,846

Multiplex
(8–15 auditoriums)

21,159

×

71%

=

15,058

6,101

Miniplex
(2–7 auditoriums)

4,065

×

71%

=

2,893

1,172

Single-Auditorium

774

×

0%

=

0

774

Total

39,338

×

70%*

=

27,444

11,894

*Percentage of all auditoriums equipped to provide audio description

As shown in Section 2.3.1 and Section 2.3.2, the number of indoor digital auditoriums that are and are not equipped to provide closed movie captioning or audio description in the compliance year provides the basis of estimating how many units of equipment will be purchased as a result of the rulemaking.

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